UK house price trends and predictions

By Fifty21 Media

25 Mar 2024

AdobeStock_498696135 (1).jpeg.jpg

In the fluctuating landscape of the UK housing market, 2023 witnessed a marginal decline in house prices, stirring conversations among industry experts about the potential for further price adjustments in the coming months.

The Land Registry's latest figures reveal a subtle 0.6 per cent annual decrease, positioning the average house price in the UK at just under £282,000 as of January.

Despite this figure hovering near the peak of £292,000 observed in September 2022, the general direction of house prices has shifted towards a downward trend.

Understanding House Price Dynamics

The Land Registry's UK House Price Index stands as the gold standard for gauging the real estate market, thanks to its reliance on completed property transactions over mere listing prices.

As per the Index, the average UK property price saw a 0.6 per cent drop from January 2023 to 2024, marking a significant deceleration from the 5.8 per cent growth rate recorded in the preceding 12 months. Notably, there exists a notable £92,000 disparity between the purchase prices for first-time buyers and existing homeowners in England, indicating varied market entry points for different buyer categories.

Comparative Insights from Various House Price Indices

In addition to the Land Registry, alternative indicators such as those provided by Rightmove, Nationwide, and Halifax provide further insights into the state of the market. Although they may slightly favour current listing prices or mortgage-based valuations, these indices reveal a subtle uptick in prices on a monthly basis, suggesting a nuanced recovery in the market.

Regional Variations in Property Prices

A closer examination of price changes across the UK underscores the regional heterogeneity inherent in the housing market. While most areas reported monthly price declines in January, London experienced the sharpest annual drop. In contrast, regions like Scotland showcased positive annual growth, illustrating the diverse economic and demographic forces at play across the country.

The Current State of Housing Transactions

Transaction volumes in the housing market have notably decreased, with HMRC data indicating a 12 per cent year-on-year decline in January 2024. This slowdown is attributed to several factors, including elevated mortgage rates dampening buyer demand. Despite a slight increase in buyer registrations, the overall pace remains sluggish compared to previous years, giving buyers more leverage in price negotiations.

Future Outlook on House Prices

Forecasting the future trajectory of house prices reveals a spectrum of predictions, ranging from stabilising prices to modest declines. Major lenders and real estate platforms offer varied projections, with some anticipating minor adjustments and others expecting more significant shifts, depending on economic indicators like inflation and mortgage rate trends.

Navigating Mortgage Options in a Shifting Market

The mortgage landscape has seen fluctuations, with recent rate adjustments reflecting broader economic policies and market sentiment. Despite these changes, opportunities for securing favourable mortgage deals remain, contingent on navigating the market with informed strategies and timing considerations.

In summary, the UK housing market is experiencing a period of adjustment, marked by regional disparities, changing buyer dynamics, and cautious optimism for stabilisation. As industry observers closely monitor these trends, the evolving landscape offers both challenges and opportunities for stakeholders navigating the intricacies of real estate investment and homeownership in 2024.

Latest news

1

Chiptech announces major innovation initiative at high-profile reception with the New Zealand Prime Minister in London. The Rt Hon Jonathan Reynolds, the Rt Hon Christopher Luxon and the Rt Hon Steve Reed (L-R Front Row) David Hammond, and Daniel Knowles

Chiptech announces major innovation initiative at high-profile reception with the New Zealand Prime Minister in London.

30 Apr 2025

2

Northstone secures full planning permission for 50 new homes in Edenfield Edenfield housing development

Northstone secures full planning permission for 50 new homes in Edenfield

29 Apr 2025

3

Ring Stones Maintenance and Construction celebrates completion of Dovestone Gardens Dovestone Gardens launch

Ring Stones Maintenance and Construction celebrates completion of Dovestone Gardens

29 Apr 2025

4

PHX Training welcomes new business leader to drive learner success Louise Kirby

PHX Training welcomes new business leader to drive learner success

29 Apr 2025

5

Lidl to invest half a billion pounds in its expansion as it eyes sites in Lancashire Lidl

Lidl to invest half a billion pounds in its expansion as it eyes sites in Lancashire

29 Apr 2025

Pc Prestonmacan Gif980x120 March
Background image for hub sign up block

LBV Hub

Leverage Lancashire Business View platforms

Post your news
Post your events
Post your offers
Build your network
Improve your SEO
Gain coverage in the magazine
Sign-up
Events
LBV122 May/June Launch Event
121 Lancashire Business View Magazine Launch
Networking
21 May 2025

LBV122 May/June Launch Event

Lancaster and Morecambe College, Lancaster, LA1 2TY

08:30 - 10:30

Sub36 Networking
Networking
11 Jun 2025

Sub36 Networking

British Jewellery School, Scorton, PR3 1BA

15:00 - 17:00

Lancashire Net Zero Carbon Conference
Net Zero Carbon Social 1200px 2
Networking
18 Jun 2025

Lancashire Net Zero Carbon Conference

Crow Wood Hotel & Spa Resort, Burnley, BB12 0RT

08:30 - 13:00

Lancashire Built Environment Conference 2025
BEC 315 X 315 Px
Networking
25 Sep 2025

Lancashire Built Environment Conference 2025

Blackpool Football Club, Blackpool, FY1 6HX

08:30 - 13:00

CMI Level 5 Management and Leadership Course
UCLanAerialCampus.jpg.jpg
LBV Hub Seminars
21 Feb 2025 - 21 Feb 2026

CMI Level 5 Management and Leadership Course

Preston Campus, Preston , PR1 2HE

09:00 - 17:00

CMI Level 5 Project Management Course
UCLanAerialCampus.jpg.jpg
LBV Hub Seminars
21 Feb 2025 - 21 Feb 2026

CMI Level 5 Project Management Course

Preston Campus, Preston, PR1 2HE

08:00 - 17:00

RISE - The Academy for Female Leaders and Managers
WENDY BOWERS RISE Illustrstion copy.jpg.jpg
LBV Hub Seminars
02 Apr 2025 - 08 Oct 2025

RISE - The Academy for Female Leaders and Managers

East Lancashire Chamber of Commerce, Clayton le Moors, BB5 5JR

09:00 - 15:30

Planning for the future + navigating Inheritance Tax changes
Planning for the future + navigating Inheritance Tax changes for website.png.png
LBV Hub Seminars
01 May 2025 - 01 May 2025

Planning for the future + navigating Inheritance Tax changes

Stanley House Hotel, Mellor, Blackburn, BB2 7NP, Blackburn, BB2 7NP

08:00 - 10:30

Advantage: AI – A Workshop for Business Leaders – May 2
EV-land-2025-05B.png.png
LBV Hub Seminars
02 May 2025 - 02 May 2025

Advantage: AI – A Workshop for Business Leaders – May 2

Door4 Office, Burnley Wharf, Manchester Road, Burnley, BB11 1JG

09:00 - 11:00

A night at the races
1.png.png
LBV Hub Dinners / Balls
02 May 2025 - 02 May 2025

A night at the races

Morecambe FC, Morecambe, LA4 4TB

19:00 - 23:59

Celebrating 50 years of KTP
UCLanAerialCampus.jpg.jpg
LBV Hub Networking
07 May 2025 - 07 May 2025

Celebrating 50 years of KTP

University of Central Lancashire , Preston, PR1 2HE

16:00 - 18:00

Research and Knowledge Exchange Showcase
13421_research_knowledge_exchange_2025_600x300.jpg.jpg
LBV Hub Awards
07 May 2025 - 08 May 2025

Research and Knowledge Exchange Showcase

University of Central Lancashire , Preston, PR1 2HE

09:00 - 17:00

Advertise with us

Reaching 50,000 members, our print, digital and event platforms offer a fantastic way to raise your business profile and help you grow.

Find out more Lbv121 Online Graphic
Subscribe now

Weekly news bulletin