Here's to the next 10 years

If someone would have told you at the start of the last decade that by its end Donald Trump would be the President of the United States, the UK would be leaving the European Union, Boris Johnson would be Prime Minister and Leicester City would have won a Premier League title you would have had them sectioned.

But as we enter a new decade that is what the last 10 years have brought us and the whole political landscape, both here and abroad, has radically changed.

For those of us who prefer consensus to confrontation, certainty to disruption and inclusivity to isolationism, it would be easy to look at the evidence today and suggest that the ‘centre ground’ has lost the argument and we will have to get used to a less tolerant, consistent future of governance in the 2020s.

However, that would be to ignore the big lesson of what the last decade taught us: that nothing necessarily stays the same and huge change can happen quickly.

Right now, few would bet on the UK maintaining a positive partnership with the EU, the Conservatives losing the next General Election or Trump being dumped from the presidency.

Nothing necessarily stays the same and huge change can happen quickly

That will most certainly be the case if social democratic forces here and in the States, indeed in Europe itself, fail to learn the lessons of the last 10 years. If they do though, recent history tells us they could turn things on their head quickly.

So, by 2030 I predict we will have a female Democrat in the White House, a social democrat in 10 Downing Street and a referendum being prepared for the UK to re-join the EU.

Oh, and Everton will be Premier League Champions!

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